Recently, candidate Mitt Romney released his vision for the future of
the American housing market. Included in his proposal to fix the housing market
is a combination of economic growth strategies and a strikingly vague list of
how he’s going to stop foreclosures, dispose of vacant homes, and reform
regulation. Some of these proposals sound familiar, such as his idea to “facilitate
creative alternatives to foreclosure for those who cannot afford to pay their
mortgage,” which in theory is extremely
similar to Making
Home Affordable (HAMP), a current Obama Administration program.
Unsurprisingly, he also supports the privatization of Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac, a popular position among Republicans since the Government
Sponsored Enterprises were placed under conservatorship in 2008.
What many people don’t realize is that if the GSEs are transitioned to the
private market, this means that all mortgages will transition to standards set
by the private market. While having high lending standards is certainly
important and could have gone a long way to prevent the very housing woes we
are experiencing now, the private market has responded with credit standards
that are too tight even for responsible, credit-worthy borrowers. Eliminating
the GSEs will likely make it even more difficult for Americans to obtain
mortgages; without the financial backing of the Federal government, lenders
will be even less likely to lend to borrowers who don’t have pristine credit scores
and a 20% down payment.
His plan is more worrisome when taking into consideration
his proposal to eliminate the Department of Housing and
Urban Development. When asked what government departments he would eliminate
if elected to office, Romney said, “Things like Housing and Urban Development,
which my dad was head of, might not be around later.” In addition to providing
housing vouchers for the lowest income Americans and funding for community
development projects, HUD also operates the
Federal Housing Administration. If his plan is to eliminate all of HUD,
presumably it would also include eliminating the FHA. For many Americans without
the means to make a 20% down payment, FHA loans are the only way to achieve
homeownership. This is particularly true for first-time homebuyers, who haven’t
yet built up home equity and don’t have access to the amount of cash necessary
to make a 20% down payment. As the private market tightens lending standards,
the FHA has frequently been the only alternative for legitimately credit worthy
borrowers, growing from only 2% of mortgages prior to the housing crisis to 30%
today. The FHA is crucial for many Americans trying to transition into the
middle class; eliminating both the FHA and the GSEs could make the dream of
homeownership suddenly unattainable for a very large percentage of Americans.
There is no quick fix for the housing industry or the overall
economy, but Romney’s position seems to suggest that there are easy,
step-by-step solutions that President Obama refuses to take. Preserving the
ability of middle class Americans to achieve the goal of homeownership should be
an important aspect (though, not the only component) of any candidate’s housing
plan. Unfortunately, Romney’s plan, while well-intentioned, appears as though
it will make that dream even more difficult for Americans to achieve.
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